The Long Edge Bet Tracker
EST. 2026 · OSLO · DAILY USE
A bet tracker, by a practitioner

The bet tracker built for people who plan to still be here in five years.

Kelly sizing, calibration, CLV, and bankroll management — in one Google Sheet you make your own. Add your bookmakers, sports, bet types, and sources. The stats adapt to your setup. Built by a semi-professional bettor, used daily across horse racing, football, and prediction markets. $99.99 once. No subscription.

Get the tracker $99.99
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§ 01 — The problem

Most trackers don't tell you what you actually need to know.

You've probably tried three or four of them. A YouTuber's free spreadsheet. A Gumroad template that looks pretty and breaks when you add commission. A SaaS that charges $15 a month to let you fill in what you bet on.

They all miss the same thing: betting is a probability problem, not a data-entry problem.

Tracking stakes and outcomes tells you whether you're up or down this month. That's the easy question. What you actually need to know is whether your edge is real — whether the number you call your fair odds is anywhere near the truth.

Most trackers skip this. This one does not.

§ 02 — What's inside

Four tabs, plus the one that matters most.

01 · BETS

The bet log

Every bet logged in 30 seconds. Add your own bookmakers, sports, bet types, and sources — up to 300 per category — and the dropdowns, stats, and CLV breakdowns all adapt. Commission handling for Betfair and other exchanges.

02 · KELLY

The Kelly tab

Aggregates your balances and unsettled bets into a single live bankroll. You pick your Kelly fraction. When you have a genuine read on odds and edge, the tab plans the stake. It doesn't stake for you, and it doesn't pretend to know your edge — that part is on you.

03 · STATS

The stats dashboard

ROI, yield, hit rate, profit broken down by sport, bet type, and source. Filtering by date range, category, or any combination. Your current win/loss position at a glance.

04 · BANK

The bank ledger

Deposits, withdrawals, running balance per bookmaker, drawdown tracking, bonus credit accounting. The boring tab that quietly tells you whether you can actually afford the stake you just typed.

And then there's the fifth tab — the one most trackers skip. See below.

§ 03 — Calibration, in plain language

If your 40% bets win 60% of the time, you should be staking more.

The calibration tab is what most trackers don't have. It uses your fair odds — the price you think a bet should be — and compares it to what actually happened.

You enter your fair odds when you place the bet. The sheet does the rest. After 50 bets, you have a real, statistical picture of whether your probability estimates are honest. After 200, you know exactly which categories you're sharp in and which you're flattering yourself about.

Brier score, reliability plot against a 45° calibration line, plain-language verdict, and breakdowns by sport, bet type, and source.

Sample verdict
0.179
Brier score · "Excellent — your probability estimates are well-calibrated"
0% 50% 100% 0% 50% 100% Predicted probability Actual hit rate Reliability plot — your bets vs perfect calibration
§ 04 — A look inside

What gets logged, and how it gets settled.

A stylized illustration of seven bets — the columns, the dropdowns, the outcome codes. The actual sheet looks like a sheet: denser, less polished, but the structure is the same. Lay commission, Asian Handicap half-bets, pushes and refunds — all handled.

BETS · MARCH 2026
Date Bookmaker Event Stake Odds Result Profit
03/02 Bet365 Man City vs Burnley (Man City Win) £300 1.85 Won +£255
03/03 Bet365 Aintree 15:30 Lucky Star £150 4.50 Won +£525
03/05 Pinnacle Djokovic vs Rublev £300 1.65 Won +£195
03/08 Bet365 Newmarket 14:00 Golden Arrow £100 6.00 Lost −£100
03/12 Betfair Lay Chelsea Win (vs Everton) £150 4.50 Lay won +£142.50
03/18 Bet365 Liverpool −0.25 AH vs Brentford £300 1.95 ½ Won +£142.50
04/18 Bet365 Arsenal vs Spurs (Arsenal Win) £250 2.60 Pending
§ 05 — Who this is for

Honest about what this is. And what it isn't.

Buy this if

  • You want to see which sports, bookmakers, and bet types you actually make money on — and which ones you don't — so you stop wasting stakes on the wrong spots.
  • You place at least three bets a week and want to know whether you're winning because of skill or variance.
  • You trade sports, horses, or prediction markets (Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi) and want one template that adapts to all of them — your bookmakers, your categories, your bet types.
  • You want a tool you own, not another subscription.

Don't buy this if

  • You bet for fun and don't really want to know your actual ROI.
  • You want picks or a system. This is a measurement tool, not a signal service.
  • You need a mobile app. This is Google Sheets and Excel — designed for a real browser tab on a real screen, not a phone.
  • You want hand-holding. The setup is one minute. After that, you're on your own with the tool — by design.
§ 06 — What you get

What lands in your inbox.

§ 07 — The Book · Coming soon

The tracker tells you what. The book tells you why.

The Long Edge is a practitioner's manual on betting as a craft. It covers the things that actually determine whether you're still doing this profitably in five years:

  • Value identification and closing line value — what edge actually means
  • Bankroll management and Kelly criterion — how to size without blowing up
  • Variance, drawdowns, and the psychology of losing runs
  • Market structure — how bookmakers price, limit, and manage risk
  • Horse racing specifics — tote, World Pool, V-bets, exchange strategy
  • Modelling and when (not) to use AI
  • The professional lifestyle — what it actually looks like day-to-day
The book — coming soon · $19.99
The Long Edge
A practitioner's manual on betting, edge, and survival
PDF & EPUB
§ 08 — Questions

The ones people actually ask.

No. If you can enter a date and a number, you can use this. All the maths is done for you.
Yes. You get an Excel (.xlsx) version alongside the Google Sheets template. Same formulas, same tabs.
All of them. You add your own sports, bookmakers, bet types, and sources in the Settings tab — up to 300 per category. The stats, CLV analysis, and significance testing all break down by whatever categories you define.
Honestly, not really. Google Sheets on mobile works for spot-checking standings, but bet entry on a phone is painful — too many columns, too small a screen. The intended use is a pinned tab in your laptop browser, or open in Excel locally. If your workflow is mobile-first, this isn't the tool.
Yes. Enter your commission rate per bet (5% default) and the sheet handles it. Lay bet payouts, won-side commission, and all variations are built in and tested.
No. This is the opposite of a picks service. It's a measurement tool that tells you whether your own picks are any good.
No. SaaS for bet tracking is clunky, slow, and inflexible — it forces you into someone else's mental model of how categories should work. A spreadsheet you own does the same job better, faster, and offline. That's why this is a Google Sheet and not an app.
The current version has been audited across all 185,086 formula cells, with zero remaining errors. If you find something genuinely wrong, email me and I'll have a look. This is a one-time purchase though, not a service contract.
One license per user. If your group wants it, each person buys their own — that's how this stays free of DRM nonsense and stays cheap.
§ 09 — About

Why a spreadsheet, not an app.

By the numbers
9
outcome codes — wins, losses, refunds, pushes, halves, AH half-wins, multi-leg exclusion, pending
185,086
formulas across all sheets, audited to zero errors
300
configurable categories per type — bookmakers, sports, bet types, sources

I've used this tracker myself for years across Scandinavian, UK & Irish, Hong Kong, UAE, German, and French horse racing, plus selective football, tennis, golf, and winter sports — and other bad habits. It's been refined a hundred small ways since I first sat down with a blank sheet.

Could I have built a SaaS instead? Probably. Did I want to? No. SaaS for bet tracking locks you into someone else's categories, someone else's bet types, someone else's idea of what matters. A spreadsheet you own adapts to how you actually think about your book. That's why this is a template, not an app.

A spreadsheet is what I want. Mine lives as a pinned tab in my browser, always one click away. That's how this product is meant to be used — pinned tab on a real screen, or open in Excel locally if you'd rather spend the RAM. It's not optimized for mobile and won't be. If your workflow is mobile-first, this isn't your tracker, and that's fine.

I run MrWorldPool — a betting product for serious horse racing pools — and through that work I noticed how often people who ask about my process get tripped up by the same thing: they don't have a tracker they actually trust. So I decided to publish mine.

It's not a course. It's not a Discord. It's not a newsletter. It's the spreadsheet I use myself, cleaned up and shipped.

Stop tracking bets like a hobbyist. Start tracking them like someone who plans to still be doing this in five years.

The Tracker
$99.99
Google Sheets + Excel + PDF guide
Get the tracker
Save $20
Tracker + Book
$99.99
The tracker + The Long Edge ebook
Coming soon
The Book
$19.99
A manual on process, edge, and survival
Coming soon
One-time payment · Instant delivery · One license per user